Mitt Romney Had Virtually No Convention Bounce in Florida
Gravis Marketing conducted a poll on September 2, right in between the end of the RNC and the start of the DNC. It showed Romney with a one point advantage in Florida, 48 percent to Obama's 47 percent. (Poll master Nate Silver, by the way, says that Gravis's results are generally kinder to Republican politicians).
That seems alright. Except that Gravis also conducted poll on August 20th, a week before the RNC was held in Tampa. Those results showed Romney up 50 to 46. So, according to the Gravis results Romney is actually down two points after the Republican convention, while Obama is up a point.
Public Policy Polling, a Democrat-aligned firm, also conducted a poll of Floridians shortly after the end of the RNC. Their poll was taken August 31 and September 2, and showed Obama with a slight 48-to-47 advantage. Those were the exact same numbers they found in their late July poll.
So, whoops, there's little evidence that hosting their convention in Florida actually helped the GOP's chances in the Sunshine State come November.
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