Mitt Romney Officially in the Lead in Florida

Categories: Politicks
For the past few months, most electoral maps have painted Florida a faint shade of blue, but ever since last week's debate Mitt Romney has made a comeback in Florida and turned our peninsula into a speculative shade of light red.

Poll after poll after poll taken in the last week has given Romney the slightest of leads. A Mason-Dixon poll gave him a seven point lead. Rasmussen Reports has him up by 4. Lesser known firms like ARG (by three points) and We Ask America (also by three points) show Romney in the lead. The overall Real Clear Politics average has him up by 2 percent.

Meanwhile, The New York Times polling analysis blog Five Thirty Eight now gives Romney a 60 percent chance of winning the Sunshine State, but predicts just a one point win with with 50.2 percent of the vote to Obama's 49.2. Though, nationally 538 still gives Obama a 66.1 percent chance of winning, and still has Obama in the lead in other swing states like Ohio, Nevada and Virginia.

It's certainly not an insurmountable lead for the Obama campaign to overcome in Florida, and there have been a few polls that have continued to show him in the lead. A University of North Florida poll released this week gave him a four point lead, while an NBC News/Marist poll gave him the one point lead.

Most polls still show about 4 or 5 percent of likely voters undecided. Whichever candidate ends up appeasing those remaining hold out may take victory in the state. (And, according to the prevailing political math, a victory in Florida would all but ensure an Obama win. Romney would have a little bit more work to do.)

Follow Miami New Times on Facebook and Twitter @MiamiNewTimes.

Sponsor Content

My Voice Nation Help

Hooray,,finally people are awakening to the fact that Obama in a Socialist Nitwit and not fit to be president.

drakemallard topcommenter

“From Draft Dodging to War Mongering Mitt Romney is George W. Bush Mitt Romney was in favor of the war in Vietnam, but was too chicken to fight in it. He had his little pro war sign, and was happy to see other people be sent and get killed, but wouldn't go himself


“But he is more than willing to send our husbands, sons and grandsons, our wives, daughters and granddaughters to fight in Iran, Libya and Syria. And don’t forget he is shakin’ the big stick at Russia and China! He has already made his fortune in those two countries and doesn’t need them anymore.”



That's just horrible news. Things are looking really bad for President Obama right now. Here is a great desperate plea from an 89 year old man in Michigan who really wants (and needs) President Obama to win.


Google: Mitt Romney Must Not Win - A Plea From An Old Man


drakemallard topcommenter

 @jaymcbee Now has Obama fixed it? No. He has not. But is Mitt Romney the answer, going back to the old Republican ways that caused it in the first place? Americans have very short attention spans. They usually can only remember about a year ago. They need to remember about four, five, six years ago of who caused this

Now Trending

Miami Concert Tickets

From the Vault