In Today's Latest Polls, Mitt Romney Now Has The Slight Lead in Florida

Categories: Politicks
The race for Florida's electoral votes remains effectively tied with various polls showing both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama with a slight edge. While polls released yesterday showed Obama with the slightest of leads, today's polls have Romney up by a few points. Though, all leads for both candidates in the past few days have been within the margin of error, so the two remain statistically tied.

The Ipsos poll conducted for Reuters actually does show both candidates tied with 47 percent each among likely voters. Even among all registered voters, the poll finds the two are effectively tied with Obama getting 45 percent and Romney getting 44 percent. Though, Obama leads among those who have already voted, 53-45. About a third of all registered voters in Florida have already cast a ballot.

A Gravis Marketing poll shows one of the largest leads we've seen recently, with Romney up by three points in a 50-47 match-up. Though, Gravis tends to produce numbers that lean more Republican than other pollsters.

A We Ask America poll meanwhile paints the race in Florida as one with less than a full percentage point between the candidates. The poll found 49.8 percent say they'll vote for Romney, and 48.9 percent for Barack Obama.

In the Real Clear Politics average of polls, Romney remains up by 1.2 percentage points. Huff Post's model has Romney up by less than a percentage point, and Five Thirty Eight gives Romney a 59 percent chance of winning Florida.

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73 comments
Phil Ramirez
Phil Ramirez

Republicans looking out for middle class?! that's like saying Cuban politicians will allow Central American majority, in key positions County wide (Port, MIA, Cities, etc.)

Chard Beauregarde
Chard Beauregarde

Romney looking out for you the lower-middle class citizen? Give me a break! Stop watching so much Fox News! Do some fact checking, dummy!

Michael Bolanos
Michael Bolanos

@chard can you say $5.4 Trillion? Your vote for Obama would mean another $6trillion of wasteful spending. So it looks like your voting for the person stealing our money and wasting it. Time for Romney to put money back in our pockets and stop the out of control wasteful spending.

Michael Bolanos
Michael Bolanos

@Phil, 2008 the majority voted for what then Candidate Obama promised. HOPE AND CHANGE. We were facing an crisis in the economy due to the housing market. You seem to hold Bush accountable for his 8 years in office and its funny how you cant hold Obama accountable for his 4 years? It was unpatriotic for Pres Bush to run up the debt and put 2 wars on a credit card but, somehow its ok for Pres Obama to double the debt. The best things for Presidents to do after a disaster is to stay away for a while because they become more of a distraction than help. Your theory that Romney wants to take us back to the Bush years is technically an opinion. There is nothing in the Romney Plan that compares to the Bush years. However if President Obama had done the right things and fixed the economy first or shown up to the first debate,then he would not be in the situation he is in now. How funny is it that you criticize Romney for being a flip flopper when Obama has done the same. 1)For Gay marriage, then against, then he thinks he is for it just to get their votes. 2)Voted against increasing the debt limit; then supported raising it. 3) Campaigned against the Bush tax cuts; then extended all of them. 4)Promised to cut the deficit in half by the end of his first term; then proposed trillion dollar deficits. 5)Vowed the unemployment rate would be below 8% if his stimulus was passed; but then it broke 10%. 6)Promised shovel ready jobs; then admitted they weren’t shovel ready. 7)Said if you like your health plan you can keep it; but then threw seniors off Medicare Plus and employers are now saying they’ll dump people onto the public exchange. 8)Promised to have health care negotiations on live TV, but then reversed himself. 9)Indicated Bush violated the Constitution; then carried out warrantless wiretaps, indefinite detentions, secret renditions, quadrupled drone attacks, and kept Guantanamo Bay open. Voted against the Patriot Act, but then supported its extension. 10)Said lobbyists wouldn’t work in the White House; then gave them waivers to work there. 11)Vowed to take public financing for his 2008 campaign; then refused public financing when he realized he would receive more money without it.

Luis Menendez
Luis Menendez

Like I say, you like to talk big, but Mitt esta perdiendo y no tiene chance de ganar, su campaña esta desesperada inventando todo lo que pueden de President Obama...NO MITT...YES OBAMA...and that my friend is a fact...You will see in November 6...Por cierto ya votastes?

Phil Ramirez
Phil Ramirez

if Obama was as extreme as GOP wants to portray him: 1-) we'd had England's style Universal Healthcare, 2-) weed would be legal, 3-) and the entire former cabinet, with the exception of Condy and Colin Powell, would be at The Hague. (Bill Maher said that)

drakemallard
drakemallard topcommenter

to mitt the  twit  when are you ever going to learn? that sliver spoon in your mouth gives you ideals! Above your position. If you weren't such an idiot you probably will have won and what make it worse. Is you can't even see that! you  call forty-seven percent of the citizenry shiftless moochers and still hope to win the presidency. Tax policy is made up of small mystical creatures and health problems are already solved through the miracle of .emergency rooms! 

drakemallard
drakemallard topcommenter

I can't believe that people are stupid enough to fall for this.Romney says he's going to create, well how many million jobs? that's total hogwash, and I'll tell you why. The only thing a government official can -- can create is a government job. So if he's going to create 12 million new jobs, they're going to be paid for by taxes. Because jobs are created.Jobs are created in the private sector. Not by the president or the government unless they're government jobs.

Phil Ramirez
Phil Ramirez

Monsieur Bolaños, can you shed some light on these facts? 1-) why did Romney, and the rest of potential candidates in 2008, simply walked out of the competition?! Did they foresee what was to "trickle down", thanks to Dubya's policies? 2-) are you aware that these deficits are, 90+% due to what Obama inherited?! 3-) have you noticed that Willard resembles the love child of Al Gore & Sarah Palin, when it comes to be unstable and certified "flip-flopper"?! 4-) why is it that hard-line Cubans will vote Republican by default, even when the GOP hasn't done anything for the island? Is it to protect their hustle?! 5-) partying in Vegas, while people died in Benghazi? How long it took Dubya to, at least, fly over New Orleans after Katrina (and please, keep that FOX News line "...his security, can't be compromised", to yourself). Sandy hit the Northeast and Obama's there already. 6-) do we need to go back to the Dubya years, just to please a bunch of rednecks and multinationals?!?!

Michael Bolanos
Michael Bolanos

@luis, you need to stop being a loyal liberal and simply accept that Hope and Change that was promised in 2008 never came. And the funny thing is that the same agenda he sold you on in 2008 is what Obama is giving to you again in 2012. The only difference is that now its in a booklet. You should send your resume to MSNBC, NBC, ABC, CBS or CNN, I hear they are hiring hard core Obama Zombies that dont like to report the truth. Record high unemployment, $5.6 Trillion dollar debt on Obama watch, Obamacare that not even Obama wants to be on, Taxpayers monies thrown at Green Energy companies that have gone BANKRUPT, Partying in Vegas when 4 Americans were murdered in Libya, and the list goes on.Democrats might want to stop watching the Liberal media that like to give Obama a pass and coverup his mess, and read more about Democrats that gave up on that Hope and Change and why they no longer believe in Obama. http://www.cleveland.com/opinion/index.ssf/2012/11/why_this_cleveland_democrat_su.html

Morris Solow
Morris Solow

Just Think...When Mitt Romney Is Elected And He Stimulates Our Crap Economy This Rag Of A Newspaper May Be Able To Charge A Quarter An Issue To Stay In Circulation. ROMNEY/RYAN 2012

Luis Menendez
Luis Menendez

Michael deberias de haber sido periodista, como te gusta escribir....No hay nada mejor que un resumen de dos palabras.....0BAMA 2012!

Phil Ramirez
Phil Ramirez

it depends on 2 things: 1-) turnouts, 2-) Cuban imported "electoral fraud".

Jonathan Jurist
Jonathan Jurist

Florida LOVES liars. Just look who we elected governor? @MLandsberg: correct. But if you can't read...

haze30
haze30

Last 4 years didn't work...    Lets vote for smaller govt and someone who understands economics....      Romney is the choice! 

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@michael landsberg...... Great argument...FAIL!...... Keep it up and show your true ignorance.

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@Arlo.... I do agree with climate change theory but I think other countries like china and India have to also be held to standards to make a difference.....

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@Arlo..... C-Mon man! Really?!? The NY times is in the back pocket of the left..... It's hard to take the seriously. It's like getting your news feed from Rush...... Don't waste too much of your time reading the NY times and for that matter Rush as well..... Lol

Michael Landsberg
Michael Landsberg

The majority of you romney lovers don't make enough per year to be in his interests. If you make 100k or less a year, are a woman or gay and you are voting Romney. You are ignorant and need to stop watching fox news.

WakeUp
WakeUp

Come on Florida, let's show the rest of the country that we are completely retarded.   A vote for Mitt means you are either extremely wealthy or completely retarded.

Michael Bolanos
Michael Bolanos

Correction, the first 6 out of the 8 years of Bush. even after the 9-11 attack.

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@Arlo..... We can probably agree on many things.... But it's like saying Obama took us back to the Carter policies.....

Michael Bolanos
Michael Bolanos

@Arlo, its funny that you think that a vote for Romney is to take us back to the Bush time. Somehow you forgot that during the 8 years of Pres Bush we had a an upward economy even with two wars. You seem keep blaming Bush for the economic mess we are in but yet you leave out the Democrats that controlled the House and senate in 2007 and 2008. Just incase you forgot, that is when the economy collapsed due to the housing market. Obama made a 4 year promise not an 8 year promise. @chard, your 8 years are wrong it was 6 Republicans (Economy was well) and the last 2 years were Democrats(when the economy took a dump). Why dont you blame the Democrats for that time? The sad part is that you are giving Obama a pass simply because he is a minority and was not smart enough to surround himself with the right kind of people. You cant expect a community Organizer to fix the economy of the United States. The Country needs to be run like a Business and Romney's 70% success rate proves he can Balance checkbooks. By the way, can either of you tell me when was the last time the Democrats that control the Senate pass a Budget? Or how many Democrats voted to pass the 3 budgets that Obama sent them? Its not a Democrat problem or a Republican problem, what we have is a Presidential Leadership Problem.

Arlo Rappaport
Arlo Rappaport

@cClarence..Obviously,I think things would be and will be worse if we go back to the Bush policies,,We can agree to disagree!

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@Arlo.... I like how you state that bush is my guy.... Lol.... Obama had my vote in 08 so is he my guy too? I hold people accountable for what they promise and tell me that they are going to deliver.... Obama promised Hope and Change and we are still stuck in a rutt with a GDP growth of just 2%..... 7.8 unemployment.... 23+million Americans that are underemployed or out of work. Inflation due to the fed printing all the money they want.... Spending of 6 trillion dollars in less that 4 years. So look at the promises Obama made in 08 and hold him accountable. If Romney does a crappy job then ill vote him out too.... I'm not Party affiliated and that's why I can stay away from the juice that both the right and the left drink......

Joseph Patton
Joseph Patton

70 million americans are about to vote for Romney...and 99.9% of them make less than $100K per year....attacking him is not an agenda. Obama had his chance. He failed.

Arlo Rappaport
Arlo Rappaport

@clarence I do not understand your argument and you can not compare the economy he inherited to the one's Clinton and Reagan did. Private sector unemployment is moving down after continual increased unemployment under GW. Obama is winding down the unpaid for wars your guy started(you voted for GW). ...If you can't see the stark contrast after Sandy in New Jersey and how Obama is handling it vs Mitt who said he wants to do away with FEMA or return it to the states. Then I can't convince you. Romney is standing by a guy who said rape is a form of conception.. Further Romney's promise of tax cuts for all and increased military spending and decreasing the deficit without telling you how is a joke. If you believe that I got a bridge I want to sell you.

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@chard.... Did you forget that the Democrats held the house from 06-10 and the Senate from 06-present day? So some of the policies in the bush terms were democratic legislation......

Chard Beauregarde
Chard Beauregarde

How does 2 years compare to 8? Anyway, if you're talking about results and promises, look at what Romney's been saying the past debates. Nothing. No concrete plans on what he plans to do with taxes and even switching up his game plan when it seemed most convenient for him. Him and Ryan have said completely different things in terms of policy. At least Obama came with a game plan this time around.

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@chard.....I get what you are saying but it's like everyone forgets that Obama had total control his first 2 years..... What's about that...... Both sides are corrupt but the blame game is pointless.... Get results is what matters and frankly the results aren't where he president Obama said they were going to be

chardo1
chardo1

Most other countries don't allow media outlets to report polls to influence public opinion to a bias prematurely. Fuck the polls.

Chard Beauregarde
Chard Beauregarde

Clarence Kinda hard to believe, huh. Such a crappy economy after 8 years of free reign from Republicans. Do you honestly expect it to fully bounce back from trillions of dollar deficit to surplus in 4 years?? With a stonewalling Republican congress dogging you at every turn??

Adam Rz
Adam Rz

Gary Johnson 2012! Both Mutt and Obama are the same old smoke and mirrors!

Mercy Mercy-Me
Mercy Mercy-Me

www.factcheck.org/2011/03/is-obama-to-blame-for-4-gasoline

Clarence Bolanos
Clarence Bolanos

@Arlo.... This president shouldn't have stated that he was going to bring unemployment down to 5% before his first term. He should have concentrated on the economy in his first term especially in his first 2 years when he and the Democrats had total control.... But he decided to devote all of his attention to health care that isn't policy that's in effect. He has though spent 6 extra trillion dollars that this country has nothing to show for. I wasn't a fan of bush spending and I'm not a fan of Obama spending either....... But let me guess.... It's all G. W.. FAULT? When is Obama going to actually take responsibility for what has been going on under his watch. Clinton didn't blame Bush the 1st for what he inherited..... Reagan didn't blame Carter for what he inherited.... But that is all Obama has been saying.... We get it.... Obama got a crappy economy but we put him in place to change that and we are still in a crappy economy 4 years later. Good leaders lead while bad ones blame others for their inability to lead.

Chard Beauregarde
Chard Beauregarde

Jose Nope wrong again. Congress dictates price tariffs from OPEC. In any case we shouldn't be drilling in the Gulf anyway. Have you seen the nasty shit that's been emerging from those waters since the Deepwater Horizon fiasco?

Chard Beauregarde
Chard Beauregarde

Carolina Voting third party in a swing state is pointless, Vote for the lesser of two evils blah blah. If you however, lived in say, Texas, then yeah vote 3rd party.

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