Latest Florida Polls Have No Idea If Romney or Obama Is in the Lead

Categories: Politicks
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The latest polls released in the past few days really have not brought much clarity to the question of who exactly is in the lead in Florida. Two recent newspaper-commissioned polls show Mitt Romney with a sizable lead, but others show Barack Obama with a slim lead. Taken all together, we wouldn't be surprised if the state was heading for another recount.

In a poll conducted by Insider Advantage for The Florida Times-Union released this morning, Mitt Romney is up against Barack Obama 52 to 47. The poll claims Romney has a 25 percent lead among independent voters.

That's consistent with a poll conducted by Mason-Dixon for The Miami Herald and Tampa Bay Times. The poll shows Romney with a 51-45 advantage. That poll, however, only shows Romney with a six point lead among independents. The Mason-Dixon poll shows Romney with an eight point lead among those 65 and up, while the Insider Advantage showed Romney up 17 points among that age group. So while the polls showed similar final results, there's actually a lot of inconsistencies between the two.

Not all polls though are showing Romney as the clear favorite. A Public Policy Polling survey released this morning shows Obama with a one point lead, 50-49. That poll shows Obama with a two point lead among independents.

A NBC/Marist poll meanwhile shows Obama with a two point lead, 49-47.

The latest Ipsos/Reuters daily web tracking poll has the two tied at 47 a piece. The similar Zogby/Newsmax daily tacking poll has Obama up by 5 points in the latest, but just yesterday had Romney up by two points.

The latest YouGov poll gives Romney a one point lead, 48-47.

The RCP average has Romney with a 1.8 lead, but the Pollster.com average has the two basically tied. FiveThirtyEight gives Romney a 56 percent chance of winning the state, compared to Obama's 44 percent.

All said, it looks like this will be a close one. And, once all is said and done, if you want to gauge how accurate a particular polling firm is, just look at their last Florida poll and compare it to the actual results.

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14 comments
akosnitzky
akosnitzky

@juwaack68 @THEezrunner Hit or miss here

akosnitzky
akosnitzky

@gumavirg I went no on the Amendments.

akosnitzky
akosnitzky

@THEezrunner RT @RobinsonFlash: Very long lines at polls in Northern Virginia. #vote

akosnitzky
akosnitzky

@THEezrunner Hi. Still the same grind. How about you?

akosnitzky
akosnitzky

@THEezrunner How goes VA look for this race as you are also a swing state?

akosnitzky
akosnitzky

@gumavirg I voted for a few of your recommends.

drakemallard
drakemallard topcommenter

Electronic voting machines are a GOP conflict of interest Tagg Romney, the son of Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, has purchased electronic voting machines that will be used in the 2012 elections in Ohio, Texas, Oklahoma, Washington and Colorado. Hypocrisy: If the President's Family Purchased Voter Machines, the Uproar Would be Deafening candidate for the presidency of the United States, and his brother, wife and son, have a straight-line financial interest in the voting machines that could decide this fall's election. These machines cannot be monitored by the public. But they will help decide who "owns" the White House." If Romney wins, it because there more votes then people

drakemallard
drakemallard topcommenter

to mitt the twit when are you ever going to learn? that sliver spoon in your mouth gives you ideals! Above your position. If you weren't such an i di ot you probably will have won and what make it worse. Is you can't even see that! you call forty-seven percent of the citizenry shiftless moochers and still hope to win the presidency. Tax policy is made up of small mystical creatures and health problems are already solved through the miracle of .emergency rooms! Romney is headed back to his home in New Hampshire in January and Obama will become the President again.Obama will be reelected in a close election, with the results delayed because of recounts or delayed election results and that the Democrats will stay a majority in the Senate

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