Scientists Explain Why a Hurricane Hasn't Hit Florida in Nine Years: We're "Very, Very Lucky"

Categories: Category 5

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Hurricane season ends on November 30, but for Floridians it seems like it didn't even begin this year. In fact, it will be the ninth straight year in a row that a hurricane hasn't made landfall in Florida. That's the longest stretch in recorded history, more than doubling the previous records.

Scientists aren't exactly sure how to explain why, but Phil Klotzbach, of Colorado State University's Tropical Meteorology Project, gives the best answer to the Sarasota Herald-Tribune: "Florida has been very, very lucky."

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Tropical Disturbance Will Soak South Florida But Probably Won't Develop Into Bigger Storm

Categories: Category 5

via National Hurricane Center
South Florida may see a run on umbrellas today thanks to a weather system churning off the coast of the Bahamas this morning. But we'll have to wait another week for our first run on hurricane supplies, as forecasters now say the system isn't likely to develop into anything more than an annoying burst of bad weather through Saturday.

A National Weather Service Hurricane Hunter plane had planned to fly into the system this morning to gauge its chances of growing into a named system before slamming into Florida, but that flight has been canceled. Wind shear will keep the storms disorganized, forecasters say.

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Tropical Storm Dolly Forms in Gulf of Mexico

Categories: Category 5

via National Hurricane Center
The slumbering 2014 hurricane season is finally coming out of hibernation. Just over a week after Hurricane Cristobal pulled together in the Caribbean, the fourth named storm of the year has become official in the Gulf of Mexico.

Miami's National Hurricane Center this morning named Tropical Storm Dolly, which is spinning off the coast of Mexico with 50 mph winds and heavy rain. The storm won't bother anyone in South Florida unless they're planning a trip to coastal Mexico in the next couple days.

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Tropical Depression Likely to Just Miss South Florida This Weekend

Categories: Category 5

via National Hurricane Center
The system's latest path prediction would just miss South Florida.
Pesky ol' 96L, the awkwardly named system that still needs to organize a bit more before earning the more dignified moniker of Tropical Storm Cristobal, is soaking the Lesser Antilles this morning and turning toward the northwest.

The latest prediction from forecasters as of 8 a.m.: The storm will become a depression this weekend, steer toward South Florida, but probably miss nailing Miami thanks to a trough of low pressure. The system could still make for a sloppy, wet time in the neighborhood, though.

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A Brewing Tropical Storm Could Take Aim at South Florida Next Week

Categories: Category 5

via the National Hurricane Center
Good rule of thumb: When a storm system hasn't even morphed into a named tropical storm yet, it's way too early to raid Publix for vodka, er, emergency water supplies, no matter what the TV news is saying this morning.

But if you live in South Florida, it is worth watching a system brewing east of the Lesser Antilles. There's a high chance it turns into a depression in the next five days, and it's definitely headed northwest toward our neck of the woods. Hurricane hunter aircraft are on call to check the system this afternoon.

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Tropical Storm Bertha Forms in the Caribbean, Aims Toward Puerto Rico

Categories: Category 5

via National Hurricane Center
Despite the usual muggy drenching every afternoon around 4 p.m., Miami's had a fairly dry run through hurricane season so far. But that could change early next week thanks to a large lady named Bertha swirling out over the Caribbean this morning.

The National Hurricane Center declared Bertha the second named tropical storm of the year this morning. Projections have the storm rolling a few hundred miles off Miami's coast by Monday morning.

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The First Tropical Disturbance of the Year Is Rumbling Off Florida's Coast

Categories: Category 5

via the National Hurricane Center
Look upon your demise and tremble.
This is not a test. Hide your family. Sell all of your belongings for canned food and weaponry. Prepare yourself for utmost destruction. The year's first tropical disturbance is churning just off the coast of Florida, and the time has come to PANIC!

Wait, what's that? It's basically just a big rain shower that has essentially no chance of developing into a tropical storm? Hmm. Well, you may as well at least prepare yourself for the coming five months of Weather Channel and local TV news freakouts over every other disturbance within 500 miles of South Florida.


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Florida's Tornadoes Are the Deadliest in the Country

Categories: Category 5

`Photo by Justin1659 via Wikimedia Commons
Compared to the miles-wide F5 monsters that roar across the Kansas and Nebraska plains, Florida's tornadoes are usually quaint little dust devils that pop up momentarily and never get the space to grow into city-destroying catastrophes.

Yet it's the Sunshine State's mini-twisters that are the deadliest in the nation, according to a new federal study out this month. The reason is very Florida: Everyone here is either really old or lives in a mobile home, so even small tornadoes are often killers.

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Florida Hurricane Expert: 75 Percent Chance State Gets Hit This Year

Categories: Category 5

Headed to Miami in 2014?
It's been nine years since the double-whammy of Katrina and Wilma walloped Miami, and the Magic City has coasted through every hurricane season since without a scratch. Most weather experts have predicted more of the same this year, with another strong El NiƱo system tamping down tropical storms.

But one Florida-based expert thinks otherwise. Ocala's David Dilley, who runs a computer-modeling service, predicts a 75 percent chance that the Sunshine State will get a landfall this year.

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5.1 Magnitude Earthquake Startles and Confuses Cubans, Floridians

Categories: Category 5

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Prior to yesterday, most Floridians' experience with the Richter scale was limited to the former Universal Studios attraction, Earthquake: The Big One. At around 4 p.m. Thursday afternoon, a rare, 5.1-magnitude earthquake struck outside Cuba leaving residents of the seismically stable country -- and some South Floridians -- slightly confused.

Although no damage has been reported yet, the tremor is one of the few to ever occur in the Straits of Florida, the J-shaped channel that hooks through Florida, the Keys, Cuba and the Bahamas.

Registering as "moderate" on the Richter scale, the quake had the potential to damage poorly built structures but was unlikely to cause any fatalities.

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